Through two games, all teams in Group B are still alive and, as far as we can tell, each team has a chance of crashing out of the tournament on Sunday.
That means Santos, who have zero points in two games, still have hopes while New England, with six points in two games, might still not advance.
How does that work out? Well, like I said, it's complicated.
First of all, here's a link to what some colleagues were discussing in the press box. Nick Green on his 100 Percent Soccer blog breaks down the tiebreaking scenarios. I let him do the work on Wednesday as I had a lot of stuff to get off my plate and by the time I wanted to figure it out on my own, the topic had been discussed and figured out... we think. It's complicated, rememeber.
Okay, let's see here. New England has six points, but if Chivas beats the Revs, both will be on six points. If Pachuca beats Santos, all three would be on six points and Santos would be out with zero. You can't go to head-to-head because New England beat Pachuca, Pachuca beat Chivas and Chivas would have beaten New England.
Next tiebreaker is goal differential. Entering Sunday, it's New England with plus two, and Pachuca and Chivas are even. Nick points out that if one team can advance on goal differential over the other, it goes through first. So if Pachuca wins 2-0 and Chivas wins 1-0, Pachuca goes through on the better goal differential and you go back to the top with Chivas and Revs. If that's the case, Chivas beats the Revs on head-to-head and New England's out.
I guess the easiest thing is this: if New England wins or draws, they're through. If Chivas and Pachuca both win, the club who wins by more goals is also probably through, and the Revs are in trouble.
On the other end of the spectrum, if Santos beats Pachuca and New England beats Chivas, the Revs win the group with nine points while the other three would each have three points. Then, you'd repeat the tiebreaking scenarios above.
Seriously, my head is starting to hurt.